Jun 23, 2006 6:56 pm US/Pacific
Signs Suggest N. Korea Readying Launch
(CBS News) WASHINGTON American satellites remained keyed on a launch pad in North Korea where it appeared a missile was being prepared for launch Friday.
The North Koreans were silent as to what was going on. Other nations have warned them not to launch the missile and the United States has threatened to shoot it down in the unlikely event it is launched and heads toward U.S. soil.
CBS News national security correspondent David Martin reports the weather is supposed to be good enough for a launch by Saturday night North Korean time, which is Saturday morning on the East Coast. But before they can launch, they still have to clear the area around the launch pad.
Martin reports that government officials currently believe the missile is carrying a satellite. If that is correct, it should not come close to U.S. territory.
The missile would be traveling 15,000 mph, leaving only a few minutes after its path is determined to make the decision to shoot it down. The president has already delegated authority to issue the shoot-down order to Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld.
Also on Friday, Air Force Lt. Gen. Henry A. Obering III, director of the Missile Defense Agency, told reporters he has little doubt that the interceptor system would work, even though it has never been used in a real emergency and even though the U.S. government knows relatively little about how the North Korean missile would perform.
Obering refused to say whether the U.S. missile defense system is ready now for a possible intercept mission, but noted that it has been designed specifically to defend U.S. territory against known missile threats from North Korea.
"(From) what I have seen and what I know about the system and its capabilities, I am very confident," he said when asked at a news conference about the likelihood that one of the 11 missile interceptors based in Alaska and California would succeed against North Korea's long-range Taepodong 2 missile.
Obering refused to discuss more specifically the level of his confidence.
He also would not say whether the missile defense system, which includes missile-tracking radars and a communications system linked to the interceptors in underground silos, is currently in an "operational" status. He said it is shifted from a test mode to an operational mode frequently. "We do it all the time," he said.
The system is not ready at all times for actual use in an emergency because it is often preparing for or conducting tests.
Noting that North Korea has not conducted a test flight of a ballistic missile since 1998, Obering said that means the Pentagon has a limited amount of information about how a long-range Korean missile would function.
"It's very, very difficult to understand what they may have, how it may perform," he said, adding that any long-range ballistic missile would have to follow known trajectories in order to reach U.S. territory.
The Taepodong 2 missile is a newer version that has never been flight tested.
The North Korean missile program is especially troubling to the United States, Japan and other countries potentially within missile range because of North Korea's declared — but unproven — possession of nuclear weapons.
Alan Romberg, an Asia policy expert and former State Department official, said in an interview Friday that he believes it is likely that North Korea has managed to fashion a number of weapons from its nuclear materials, but he finds it questionable to conclude that they have one that could be carried atop a long-range missile.
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Asian News
North Korea Gives No Hint on Missile Test
Saturday, June 24, 2006 4:36:44 AM
By BURT HERMAN
SEOUL, South Korea (AP) - North Korea gave no hint of whether it will fire a long-range missile as widely feared, a New Zealand diplomat who visited Pyongyang said Saturday. A top U.S. defense official expressed confidence the United States could intercept a missile from the North.
New Zealand's ambassador to both Koreas, Jane Coombs, said she conveyed her country's "grave concern" to North Korean officials during a four-day trip, but was given no clue about Pyongyang's plans for the launch.
"They did not confirm that such a test was imminent ... nor did they deny that such a test was imminent," Coombs said in Beijing.
Coombs, who visited Pyongyang to present her credentials for her new post, met with North Korea's No. 2 leader, Kim Yong Nam, and Vice Foreign Minister Kim Yong Il.
North Korea has made recent moves that would enable it to launch a long-range missile, U.S. and Asian officials have said. Intelligence reports say fuel tanks have been seen around a missile at the North's launch site on its northeastern coast, but officials say it's difficult to determine if the rocket is actually being fueled by looking at satellite photos.
In Washington, the Pentagon's missile defense chief said he has little doubt that U.S. interceptor rockets could hit and destroy a long-range North Korean missile if President Bush gave the order to attack it on a path to U.S. territory.
Air Force Lt. Gen. Henry A. Obering III, director of the Missile Defense Agency, refused to say whether the U.S. missile defense system is on alert for a possible intercept mission, but noted that it has been designed specifically to defend U.S. territory against known missile threats from North Korea.
"(From) what I have seen and what I know about the system and its capabilities, I am very confident," he said at a news conference.
However, U.S. National Security Adviser Stephen Hadley said earlier this week that the U.S. missile defense system had "limited operational capability" to intercept and destroy such a missile.
The North's reported plans to fire the missile have stoked widespread international concern, with its main allies China and Russia warning against it.
U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations John Bolton said he was "very encouraged" by China and Russia's concern. He said the U.S. approached the North Koreans last weekend "and told them that we thought the idea of a launch was a very bad idea."
U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan reiterated his concern, saying a missile launch "in a region like the Korean Peninsula, at a time when we have lots of difficult issues ... is not a wise thing to do and North Korea must listen to what the international community is telling it."
The North has said it is willing to talk to Washington about its missile concerns, repeating its long-held desire for direct meetings with the Americans. Washington insists it will only meet the North amid six-nation talks aimed at ridding Pyongyang of its nuclear weapons program.
On Friday, U.S. forces wrapped up massive Pacific war games in a show of military might. The five days of exercises — the largest in the Pacific since the Vietnam War — brought together three aircraft carriers along with 22,000 troops and 280 warplanes off the island of Guam in the western Pacific.
The U.S. will launch similar war games with seven other countries off Hawaii next week. The monthlong exercises, known as RIMPAC, will bring together forces from Australia, Canada, Chile, Peru, Japan, South Korea, Britain and the U.S.
North Korea called the biennial drills a rehearsal for invasion, saying Friday night that it would "react against the reckless provocations of the aggressors with strong measures for self-defense."
Japan and the United States, meanwhile, signed an agreement to expand cooperation on ballistic missile defense development. Japan's Defense Agency also said a high-resolution radar that can detect a ballistic missile had been deployed at a base in northern Japan.